Embracing the Future: Autonomous EVs
The Transformation of Rural Transportation
Introduction
The technological landscape is on the cusp of a transformation that will dramatically alter the economics of transportation. This shift could happen within the next 2-5 years, driven by innovation in autonomous driving using AI. This development could make scalable, efficient transport a reality, especially with the use of electric vehicles (EVs), which both reduce costs and CO2 emissions.
Potential Applications
High-Density Routes:
Autonomous buses could serve popular routes, reducing costs and allowing for greater frequency. This would enhance the overall efficiency and appeal of public transportation in high-traffic areas.
Medium-Density Routes:
Imagine autonomous mini-buses, akin to ‘The Robin’ but without a driver. These would offer flexible, on-demand routing and cheaper fares, significantly improving accessibility and convenience for medium-density routes.
Low-Density Bespoke Routes:
Autonomous cars and taxis, including small mini-buses and ‘robotaxis,’ could provide door-to-door service at any time. This could involve both dedicated vehicles and private ones. For instance, my Tesla could be utilised during the day to transport people and generate income.
Integration with Existing Transport Modes
This vision integrates seamlessly with existing transport modes and encourages sustainable practices:
Trains:
Ideal for medium to long routes, like Kemble to Swindon or London, trains are excellent for high-density travel between hubs. They provide a reliable backbone for longer journeys.
Active Travel:
For shorter distances, options like walking, cycling, cargo bikes, e-bikes, and e-scooters are perfect. They are particularly useful around towns and for longer distances with dedicated cycle paths, such as a proposed Cirencester to Kemble Cycle path.
Autonomous Driving Videos: The Future is Near
To illustrate the progress and potential of autonomous driving technology, I have embedded three videos showcasing different aspects of this innovation. These videos highlight how close we are to a future where autonomous vehicles are a common sight on our roads.
1. UK’s First Autonomous Bus
This video features the UK’s first autonomous bus trial in Edinburgh. While currently operating with a safety driver for supervision, it demonstrates significant progress towards fully autonomous public transport. The trial shows the feasibility and readiness of such technology to be integrated into our daily lives.
2. Waymo Robotaxi in San Francisco
Experience a passenger’s perspective of using Waymo’s robotaxi service in the complex driving environment of San Francisco. This video shows that driverless robotaxis are already operational on the roads today, handling various traffic scenarios autonomously.
3. Tesla Full Self-Driving (FSD) by a Tesla Owner
This video by a Tesla owner demonstrates Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) capability. Although it doesn’t yet operate completely without a driver like Waymo, Tesla’s system is rapidly advancing and can handle long, complex drives with little or no driver intervention. Tesla’s approach is particularly interesting because, once their AI software is fully trained and regulatory approval is secured (expected in the UK by 2026), millions of existing Teslas on the road could potentially function as robotaxis. These vehicles could either be part of full-time fleet operations or earn money for their owners by participating in Tesla’s taxi fleet when not in personal use – My Tesla sits on my drive a lot of the time, I rather like the idea it could go out and earn me money while providing locals with low cost, low CO2 transport on demand.
Supporting Sustainable Development
National and local planning rules should support and encourage these developments, promoting a more sustainable and efficient transportation network. For example building in walking and cycling routes to new housing developments.
A Vision for the Future
Ultimately, the goal is to make owning a car less necessary by providing a convenient, cost-effective alternative. Imagine an app-based service, similar to Uber, where people can plan their entire journey, choosing the most cost-effective or convenient route. This integrated approach could save money and provide the same level of convenience as owning a car, making it an attractive proposition for consumers.
This vision is already becoming a reality in urban areas. For example, my middle son, who lives in London, has sold his car because the combination of public and active transport is so convenient and cost-effective. While this integration does not yet scale effectively to more sparsely populated rural areas, the innovations we are exploring could soon change that.
By embracing these innovations, we can ensure that rural areas, such as the Cotswolds, are at the forefront of the transportation revolution. This would enable these areas to benefit from reduced costs, lower emissions, and improved accessibility for all. With autonomous buses, mini-buses, robotaxis, active transport and trains, rural transport could become just as convenient and economical as in urban settings, fostering a more sustainable and connected future for everyone.